Waste Management Phoenix Open
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2022 hasn’t yet gone off with a bang, but we are knocking on the door with yet another full place, in fact 2 full places with Jordan Speith & Matt Fitzpatrick making it a profitable week. The action didn’t stop there Merrit placed at 100/1 for those who follow the outsiders, a great advocate for signing up to the new letter so if you benefited last week a like/share/retweet this week would be awesome it’s easy to pass on just click ⬇️
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🏆Event Preview
⛳️Course Preview
🔑Key Skill Sets Required
📊Stats Pack
2️⃣0️⃣ Top 20 Picks
🍀 Best Outsiders to Consider
🏌️💰Best Outright Picks
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Event Overview
Over Super Bowl weekend, the PGA Tour heads to Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. The PGA Tour has named "The People's Open" "Tournament of the Year" four times since 2014, making it one of the most popular fan events of the year.The players have divided opinion some who take to the wild atmosphere, and other more traditionalists that maybe don’t appreciate the party like atmosphere.
Players will confront a different challenge this week, as the golf ball will travel significantly further than it has in the past over Hawaii and California, at an elevation of around 1,200 feet above sea level. As well as the conditions in the air the players will have the fans to deal with as we have touched upon so it’s all change this week for the worlds best.
We have 6 of the world top 10 in attendance along with 17 of the top 30 in the official golf world rankings. A star studded field for one the the events of the year.
The top Tee-to-Green operators on Tour have prospered on the course in Scottsdale. The desert course is rather gentle for the first 14 holes, but a terrific closing stretch with plenty of great reward alternatives makes for an exciting finale. The Par 5 at No. 15 is a classic risk/reward hole, with a water hazard running the length of the left side from tee to green. Then it's on to No. 16, where the high-octane action generally draws a raucous crowd to an unrivalled amphitheatre encircled by grandstands followed by the short Par 4 17th which the majority of the field can drive if they choose to do so.Drama is almost guaranteed at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.
TPC Scottsdale's greens are big, averaging approximately 7,000 square feet. Six holes feature water, and the smooth bermuda greens are sparsely guarded by hazards. As nearly every champion in recent memory has been near the top of Greens-in-Regulation, hitting greens has been critical to contending. A ball strikers paradise this week but also one where you require the flat stick to be in good order.
If your new to golf viewing this is one event not to be missed. If you are thinking of getting your friends involved in the sport this is the event to point them to for sure.
The cream has risen to the top here over the past 10 years. 8 of the last 9 winners were major champions or won The Players, something to bare in mind when finalising your selections for the week.
Event & Course Details
COURSE AND TOURNAMENT INFORMATION
Course: TPC Scottsdale (Stadium)
Location: Scottsdale, AZ
Date: Feb. 10-13 - 2022
Par: 71 / Yardage 7,261
Purse: $7.3 Million / Winner $1.3 M
Fairways/Rough: Bermudagrass with perennial ryegrass & fine fescue
Greens: : TifEagle with velvet bentgrass, Poa trivialis & perennial ryegrass
Twitter & Hashtag: @WMPhoenixOpen
Defending Champion: Brooksey.
Key Skill Sets Required
SG T2G - The natural place to start this week is with overall Tee to Green performance. This is one event where the ball strikers seem to rise to the top of the leaderboard. Many weeks onto the flat stick is an important factor however this week less so which could explain the reason behind Hideki Matsuyama winning this event in back-to-back years notoriously poor with the flat stick. I will be looking at recent form from tee to green as a key factor. 4 of the past 5 winners have ranked in the top 2 for SG T2G that particular week.
GIR Gained - Five of the last six winners of ranked in the top five for green in regulations gained on that particular week at the Waste Management Phoenix open. This tells you all you need to know. Players that hit plenty of greens this week will have an outstanding chance of lifting the trophy, the greens are large by PGATour standards and we see more put here rolled in from outside of 15 feet than many of the courses the players will play during 2022.
SG Par 4 -400-500Yards - 10 holes each day fall in the 400 to 500 yard range And therefore I want to pay particular attention to players who have dominated the par fours in recent times.
SG - Scrambling - For the first week in a while putting isn’t making headlines in the key categories to consider section however it is slightly built-in to the scramble in statistics that I will be looking at this week. Scrambling has been a key factor here at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Winners of the event often scrambling at a 70% or better throughout the week.
Bogey Avoidance - This correlates a little with scrambling. Players this week will have to keep bogeys off their card, this is a proper test of golf with all parts of the game put through the ringer, off the tee, approach play and the short game will all be tested and the players who lifts the trophy will also be a player who has made very few bogeys. It’s certainly more important this week that it has been at any point in 2022 events so far.
Stats that matter
These are the killer stats for this week. Below ⬇️ you will see screen shots of the top 25 players in each category. Sure to help you with your own thoughts when looking to make your final selections. This is also a useful resource for those playing fantasy golf with DraftKings in the 🇺🇸 Or 🇬🇧.
SG - Across all key categories
Putting stats last 50 rounds
Scrambling & Bogey Avoidance
Best Outsider to consider
1. Si Woo Kim 100/1 Fanduel
11th placed finishes in his last 2 events.
Gained strokes in all key skill areas over his last few events such as T2G, Approach play , Around the Green & Putting. This shows his game is in good order.
An underrated short game ranking in the top 20 on tour for bogey avoidance.
Plays the Par 4’s from 400-500 yards well ranking in the top 25 on tour over the past 36 rounds.
2. Corey Conners 50/1 Fanduel/BetMGM
17th here last year, he only has to visits to the track.
1st in Ball Striking over the past 36 rounds, this track is all about ball striking.
2nd in GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour.
8th in Bogey avoidance over the past 50 rounds on tour.
Lots in his favour if he can putt well this week.
3 . Keegan Bradley 100/1 Fanduel
6 of the last 7 winner of this event were major winners, and Keegan ticks that box
8th in Ball Striking on tour over the past 36 rounds, this event is all about ball striking.
Top 20 in other key skill categories such as GIR gained, Par 4 scoring and SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on tour.
Best Outright Picks
1. Patrick Cantley 16/1 Fanduel
1st Visit here will put many off, Brooks & Kyle Stanley both won on debut.
Is in the top 10 for SG approach over the past 50 rounds on tour
In the top 10 for GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour
Top 10 SG around the green over the past 50 rounds on tour.
2. Jordan Speith - 20/1 BetMGM
3 top 10’s here previously
Arrives in great form from a second place finish at Pebble .
Top 10 for SG around the green last 36 rounds on tours
A potential masters winner will want to get a win prior to his favourite event of the year, expect a highly motivated Speith in action this week.
3. Adam Scott 50/1 Fanduel
Comes here on the back of 2 top 10 finishes in UAE on the European tour at tracks that will have similar winning score to this week.
A major champion already, 7 of the last 8 winners of this event were major champs.
4th in GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour.
1st in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yards over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key distance this week
6th SG short game over the past 50 rounds on tour.
4.Russell Henley 50/1 Hills
When looking at the key skill sets this week, bogey avoidance & scrambling both stood out. Henley ranks in the top 10 on tour in both over the past 36 rounds.
Sits in the top 20 SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Sits in the top 20 SG Ball Striking over the past 24 rounds on tour.
A streaky putter who has gained stokes in 4 of his last 5 events with the flat stick.
5. Abraham Ancer 50/1 BetMGM
2nd Par 4 scoring from 400-450 yards over the past 24 rounds on tour.
3rd Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards over the past 24 rounds on tour.
7th in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour.
9th in Ball Striking over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Although no course history to shout about he has similar skill set to winner Webb Simpson who has an outstanding record here.
1 point each way on all selections - 10 points in total
1/2 point each way on each outsider - 3 points
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