The Players Championship
Gingerbets Detailed Betting Preview
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🏆Event Preview
⛳️Course Preview
🔑Key Skill Sets Required
📊Stats Pack
2️⃣0️⃣ Top 20 Picks
🍀 Best Outsiders to Consider
🏌️💰Best Outright Picks
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Event Overview.
The most anticipated golf event of the year is upon us, The Players Championship. 48 out of the worlds top 50 players will be in attendance this week. The best field of 2022 and one of the most exciting venues to match. This is one event that every single player wants on their CV other than winning the FedEx or one of the 4 major championships, this is the one they all desire.
The event is so exciting for players and fans alike. All types of players can thrive here at TPC Sawgrass, this is demonstrated by the past winners, Webb Simpson, Rory, Si Woo Kim, Matt Kuchar, Adam Scott, Jason Day to name just a few. The course doesn’t favour one style of play over another. Precision, patience, power and touch is all required this week. If the wind blows like it’s predicted we could see a different type of test to last year.
The Stadium Course at Sawgrass is regarded as one of the most mentally demanding in the world. TPC Sawgrass has received numerous accolades, and the Pete Dye design challenges all players without favouring any one style of play as we have touched upon. The course was redesigned in 2017, and the putting surfaces are now made of pure TifEagle Bermudagrass. Water looms and becomes a hazard on no fewer than 12 holes, including the short signature hole and world famous island par 3 at the 17th, which is one of the most famous in the world. The final stretch concludes with three of the most difficult par 4 scoring holes at 14, 15, and 18 – which is always the most difficult with water lining the entire left side. How players navigate this difficult stretch will have a huge bearing on the outcome. Look for elite level ball strikers from T2G to prosper this week at TPC Sawgrass.
Other Pete Dye-designed courses to take into account in your player performance research are Harbour Town and TPC River Highlands.
I’m really excited about this week, and hopeful of a strong showing from my portfolio after what has been a disappointing 2 week stretch.
Event & Course Details
COURSE AND TOURNAMENT INFORMATION
Course: TPC Sawgrass (Stadium)
Location: Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
Date: March 10-13
Par: 72 / Yardage 7,189
Purse: $20 Million / Winner $2.7 M
Fairways/Rough: Bermudagrass
Greens: : Bermudagrass
Defending Champion: Justin Thomas
Key Skill Sets Required
SG T2G - A true T2G faces the players this week. To succeed at this event, you look at players who have shown their T2G is in good shape. Those struggling with the driver, iron play or short game will be found out on this demanding test. Players lifting this trophy above their head Sunday will have gained strokes over the field without any shadow of a doubt.
SG Off The Tee – The rough here at TPC Sawgrass isn’t that penal, therefore players can be aggressive off the tee as long as they land in the first cut on the right side of the fairway. Accuracy is off course important, and many will champion that stat this week. For me, this is more about consistently gaining stroke off the tee.
GIR gained - 6 of the last 9 winners have been the top 5 for GIR gained over the course of the week, which gives you an insight into the importance of hitting lots of green and taking pressure off your short game.
SG approach 100-150 yards- With a winning score of 14under to 18under expected, players will have to make birdies when the opportunity presents itself. There are more shots from this range than the average PGA Tour event. They are taking advance with a wedge to 9 iron in hand with is crucial. Jon Rham, for example, the most consistent golfer on the planet, has quite alarming numbers from this distance, so don’t be afraid to look deeper down the board and home in on players who dominate from this distance.
Bogey Avoidance – winning scores in the mid teens under par, require a player to be patient and they attack when this time is right. On these Pete Dye layouts approach play can prove difficult meaning many missed green and battles for par. I want players onside who have shown then can minimise mistakes, keeping their rounds flowing in the right direction.
SG Putting Bermudagrass - Having spent the majority of this year playing on the west coast, players now return to Florida swing, where the Bermudagrass greens are what face the players. Although the Florida course emphasises T2G and Iron play, it’s essential to consider those who excel on the Bermudagrass.
Stats that matter
These are the killer stats for this week. Below ⬇️ you will see screen shots of the top 25 players in each category. Sure to help you with your own thoughts when looking to make your final selections. This is also a useful resource for those playing fantasy golf with DraftKings in the 🇺🇸 Or 🇬🇧.
Overall SG data from TPC Sawgrass
PAR 5 Scoring
Proximity to the hole
Putting
Best Outsider to consider
Alex Noren 90/1 BetMGM USA 🇺🇸 100/1 Hills 🇬🇧 8 places
Two top 10 finishes in his last three starts
10th her on debut and 2 top ’20s from just 4 starts
6th GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
7th SG scrambling & bogeys avoidance over the past 24 rounds, showing that he is most adept at getting up and down if he does miss the odd green.
2. Russell Henley 70/1 BetMGM 🇺🇸 80/1 Bet365 8Places 🇬🇧
6th SG approach play from 150-175 yards a critical distance this week
15th SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour
16th SG fairways gained over the past 24 rounds on tour, playing from the short grass here a TPC Sawgrass is of premium importance.
3. Conners 50/1 BetMGM USA 🇺🇸 50/1 Hills 9 places 🇬🇧
1st GIR gained over past 24 round on Pete Dye course
2nd SG approach play on Pete Dye’s courses
2nd SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on Pete Dye tracks
10th Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on Pete Dye tracks.
4. Adam Scott 50/1 BetMGM 🇺🇸 50/1 Hills 🇬🇧 9nplaces
Previous winner here, 4 top 10’s and only 2 missed cuts from 19 starts
8th SG approach play on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds
9th Par 4 scoring on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds
3rd in Scrambling & 6th in Bogey avoidance over the past 36 rounds on Pete Dye layouts
Best Outright Picks
1. Xander 28/1 BetMGM 🇺🇸 28/1 Hills 🇬🇧 9 places
6th SG approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key factor this week
8th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour, proving his all-round game is solid if not spectacular.
7th SG approach from 100-125yards a key distance this week.
5 top 20s in his last 6 starts with the best 3rd placed finished, Xander looks to be bubbling under the surface and I expect a big week.
2. Daniel Berger 28/1 BetMGM 🇺🇸 33/1 Hills 🇬🇧 9 places
2 top 10 finishes from just 6 starts at this event
Arrives with 3 top 10 already this season despite a small injury
In the most consistent period of his career his approach play is of top 5 in the world standard
5th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
7th SG approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour
3. Patrick Cantley 20/1 BetMGM 🇺🇸 25/1 Hills 🇬🇧 9places
4 top 10 finishes from 5 starts in 2022.
3rd SG T2G on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds on tour.
7th SG Approach on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds on tour.
10th SG Off the tee on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds on tour.
4. Matt Fitzpatrick 33/ 1BetMGM usa 🇺🇸 40/1 Bet365 8 places 🇬🇧
9th place finish here last time.
3 top 10’s in his last 3 events
Gained strokes in all key area’s over his last 5 events SG off the tee, SG approach play, SG around the green
Putts his best on these surfaces and gaining 1 stroke per round over the field over his last 5 events.
5. Shane Lowry 40/1 BetMGM 🇺🇸 45/1 Bet365 🇬🇧 8 places
3 top 20s in his last 4 starts with a best placed 2nd last time out.
9th GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key factor this week.
10 SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour shows the all round game is firing.
Top 15 in Bogey Avoidance & scrambling over the past 24 rounds. Both skills will be required this week at TPC Sawgrass.
1 point EW all selections
1/2 point each way on each outsider - 2 points.
Total 12 points
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