RBC Heritage
Gingerbets Golf Betting Insights - Betting Guide
RCB Heritage Event Overview.
In April of 2022, the RBC Heritage will remain at its traditional calendar slot, following The Masters. The 54th edition will feature a solid field of top-ranked players near the top of the RBC Heritage odds, with -neatly of the worlds elite making the short 130-mile travel from Augusta to Hilton Head Island.
Harbour Town is a favourite on TOUR with its traditional Pete Dye design. Jack Nicklaus got his start in golf course architecture as he assisted Dye in the design and building of Harbour Town in 1969. The course is also the most claustrophobic on the PGA TOUR. Hitting drivers often will send you into the rough and scrambling to survive. Thus strong scramblers and chippers who can produce excellence with short irons and wedges will have more success.
Power is superseded by shot-shaping and shot-making. The fairways are narrow, but some were widened slightly for the rescheduled event the year before last. Nonetheless, Harbour Town's trees and towering pines frequently obstruct paths to the smallest greens on TOUR. Although some trees have been removed and others have been lost along the final stretch, thinking and managing your way around Harbour Town is still needed to enable low scores. Tiny dome-shaped Bermuda greens face the players that are extremely difficult to hit in regulation and constantly challenge the players visually. A mental test as much as a skill test for the players this week.
Harbour Town Golf Links is not your typical coastal course rather, I would classify it as a Carolina course, sharing features with Quail Hollow and Sedgefield. It also has very close form associations with Copperhead at Innisbrook Resort in Florida, which plays much more like a Carolina-style course than a typical Florida course.
Harbour Town is a Pete Dye classic design that will test all the players this week, especially between the ears. As ever we are going to break down the key stats and trends in order to identify the players who will contend at one of the most beautiful venues on the PGA Tour.
Video Overview
For those of you who want to get a good read on the course this week, take a look at the video overview below from ProVisulizer.
Event & Course Details
COURSE AND TOURNAMENT INFORMATION
Course: Harbour Town Golf Links
Location: Hilton Head, SC
Date: April 14-17
Par: 71 / Yardage 7,100
Purse: $7.1 Million
Fairways/Rough: Bermudagrass
Greens: : Bermudagrass
Twitter & Hashtag: @RBC_Heritage
Defending Champion: Stuart Cink
Scorecard
Course Layout
5 Key Skill Sets Required
Driving Accuracy - Some of the tightest fairways on tour face the players this week. Much change from the wide-open Augusta National that they faced last week in the first major championship of 2022. Few courses on tour demand accuracy off the tee but this is certainly one of them. Not only are the players required to find fairways it’s important they find the right side to open up access to the greens.
SG T2G – The foundations required on technical tests like this start with SG T2G performance. I like to look at the last 24, 36 rounds to understand which players are playing clean golf. Harbour Town will test players off the tee and with their approach shots and the best T2G players on the week will climb that leaderboard
SG Approach from 150-200 Yards - The players are forced to lay up off the tee box this week leaving longer shots than average into these very tiny greens. We will see a higher percentage of shots from 150 to 200 yards more than we would at the standard PGA Tour event and with Harbour Town putting in such a premium on approach play this is going to be a key distance this week for all players.
SG Around the Green - Tight fairways, small greens mean one thing is for sure this week, plenty of greens will be missed. CT Pan won here in 2019 hitting around 55% of all green, the average of winners over the past 5 years would be less than 70% meaning players will be required to get up on down 30% of the time or more. I see this week being no different and if the winds do get up then expect SG around the green to be the most important factor of the week.
SG Putting - We are on the Bermudagrass surfaces this week, look for players who are rolls their rock well of recent times and those that show a liking for the Bermudagrass.
Best Outsider to consider
1. Brandon Todd 110/1 BetMGM + 1100 🇺🇸
Ranks top 20 in SG Scrambling & Bogey Avoidance over the last 24 rounds on tour.
Ranks top 10 SG short game over the past 36 rounds.
Best placed 4th here in 2015
2. Tom Hoge 80/1 BetMGM +8000 🇺🇸
Ranks in the top 5 for SG approach play from 150-200yards over the past 24 rounds.
Ranks 3rd for par 3 scoring showing his iron play is dialled in.
Top 20 SG scrambling an important skill set required this week.
6th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
3. Sepp Straka 100/1 BetMGM +10000 🇺🇸
Sits 4th in GIR gained in this field over the past 24 rounds. GIR will be crucial this week.
Comes in off a solid showing at The Masters finishing top 30.
Top 20 in SG scrambling & bogey avoidance over the past 24 rounds.
A top iron player who can thrive here this week.
Best Outright Picks
1.Matt Fitzpatrick 22/1 BetMGM +2200 🇺🇸
Top 10 for Driving Accuracy & SG off the tee at Augusta last week, important factors round here.
4th SG off the tee on Pete Dye Tracks over the past 36 rounds
4th Here last year and 2 other Top 20’s in the last 4 years.
Top 20 in T2G, Ball Striking & Putting on Pete Dye tracks over the last 36 rounds
A course and test that should suit, provides the ideal opportunity for his first win on the PGA Tour.
Tommy Fleetwood 40/1 BetMGM +4000 🇺🇸
7th SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on Pete Dye tracks and showed some positive signs with all areas of his game at Augusta last week.
Top 10 SG off the tee at Pete Dye Tracks, he ranked 3rd last week at the Masters. When Tommy starts to drive the ball well its sets him up well for big performances.
3rd SG around the green over the past 24 rounds, proving when he does miss the greens he’s one of the best at getting up and down.
5th in GIR gained last week, another key indicator to success her at Harbour Town.
3. Chris Kirk 50/1BetMGM +5000 🇺🇸
In some of the most consistent form of his career, with 2 top 10’s in his last 4 starts.
Ranks 3rd SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
7th here last year.
4. Harold Varner 66/1 BetMGM +6600 🇺🇸
Arrives in solid form after a 6th place finish at the Players only last month, and making the cut on Debut at Augusta National last week
2nd here last year.
Top 20 in key areas such as SG around the green & scrambling over the past 36 rounds.
Iron play dialled in gaining strokes in approach play 6 of his last 7 events.
1point each way all main selections
1/2 point Each Way on each outsider - 3 points
Total 11 points
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