Mayakoba Championship
Ginger Golf Betting Insights Preview
Welcome
A warm welcome to new subscribers, delighted this is finding its way to more and more golf geeks. Welcome to the Gingerbets army of golf geeks.
Can I ask one thing please - in the comments section of the YouTube video tell me what you want more of;
Top 20 previews
Stats insight video
First round leader picks/tips/insights
3 balls 🏌️
Whatever it is let me know and I’ll make sure I get it done 👍⛳️⛳️⛳️⛳️🏌️🏌️🏌️🏌️
Event Overview
El Camaleón Golf Course, designed by famed Australian golfer Greg Norman and opened in 2006, created golf history in 2007 when it hosted the Mayakoba Golf Classic, the first PGA TOUR event held outside of the United States and Canada. The course offers continually changing views as it winds through three varied ecosystems: the tropical Mayan jungle, mangrove wetlands, and the Mexican Caribbean Sea coastline, just like the chameleon from which it gets its name. El Camaleón, which has been accredited by Audubon International for its environmental dedication, has unique risks such as huge bunkers and crystal-clear fresh water canals.
El Camaleon is a simple set up where ball-striking has been essential in prior tournament renewals, while it never appears on the longest driving distance charts. Excellent driving and approach play, on the other hand, is rewarded with scoring opportunities on green complexes that are soft, slow, and among the easiest on the Tour in terms of putting average.We can expect to see super low scores this week if the winds stay calm throughout the week. Last week saw a really difficult day 1 but after that scoring became much easier with round of 10 under par shot on day 2. We can expect similar here if conditions remain calm throughout the week.
Event & Course Details
Course: El Camaleón Mayakoba Golf Course
Location: El Camaleon, Rivera Maya
Date: Nov 4-7, 2021
Par: 71/ Yardage 7,071
Purse: $7.2Million / Winner $1.3million
Fairways/Rough: Paspalum Grass
Greens: Paspalum Grass
6 Key Skill Sets Required
Driving Accuracy – Looking at the course details we can read that Driving Accurately is of huge importance, this weeks track is short by PGA Tour standards and the defence of the course come in from gradually increasing roughy lengths as you miss the fairways, the wind will also play a huge part this week. Precision off the tee looks like it will advantageous according to all the data we have. Player who excel on sub 7000 yard tracks are worth considering.
SG T2G – On this short and tactical layout I will be looking for player who have previously excelled on sub 7000 yard tracks in T2G performance. I will also be looking at more recent data than historical. For me this week is about those players in solid form from T2G. I expect the player who lifts the trophy Sunday evening to have solid T2G stats most recently.
GIR gained - This is a critical stat this week if not the most critical. When looking at the last 10 renewals of this event 8 of the last 10 winner have ranked inside the top 10 for GIR that given week. I expect the winner this week to also excel in this area.
SG Scrambling - Getting up and down will be imperative this week. When looking at the past 10 renewals of this event scrambling has been a key factor in determining success. 5 of the last 10 winners ranked in the top 10 getting up and down over 70% of the time that given week. I will be looking for player with long term scrambling ability to complement ball striking this week.
SG putting - We are on the Paspalam putting surface this week, and there are players who simply love this putting surface such as JT who has 2 wins to his name and makes the trip this week. I will be looking at players who have experience of playing on this grass in tournament condition other event such as TPC Kuala Lumpur and Corales Golf Club have such greens.
Par 4 Scoring efficiency - Every winner over the past five years as ranked top 10 in Par-4 Scoring, the distance of 450- 500 yards proving key , with 4 holes falling in this distance range.
Stats Overview
All data is from the previous 50 rounds.
Top 25 players broken down by skill set area.
Top 25 players GIR.
Putting Stats top 25 players.
Top 25 players on EASY scoring courses.
Best Outsiders to Consider
1. Kramer Hickok. +25000 FANDUEL
4th Fairways gained over past 24 rounds on tour
11th in scrambling stats over past 24 rounds
12th in sand saves over the past 24 rounds
Top 20min GIR gained over the past 24 rounds
2. Harold Varner + 9000 Fanduel
2 Top 10 previously from 5 visits
2nd in scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour
9th in GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
11th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
4 top 20 finishes in past 5 event - bubbling under quite nicely could this be a breakout week?
3. Chris Kirk 150 PP +15000 Fanduel
6th SG T2G performance in the past 24 rounds on tour
3rd SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 20 min GIR gained & Fairways found
4. Russell Knox. + 8000 Fanduel
4th GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
3rd in Par 4 scoring over past 24 rounds, a key stat this week
13th in Fairways gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
32 rounds at this event and gains over 1.5 strokes per round on the field, clearly a track he likes
Best Outright Picks
Kevin Streelman + 7000 Fanduel
3rd GIR gained over the past 24 rounds
15th SG T2G over past 24 rounds.
Top 20 in Par 5 scoring & Fairways gained over the past 24 rounds
Gains over 1 stoke per round on the field over the past 28 rounds at this event
2. Matt Fitzpatrick +3400 Fanduel
Steady performance last week on a very tough and windy track, I believe the prep will have done him the world of good.
Still seeking his first PGA Tour win, this is the type of course that will suit him
Top 20 GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 20 in Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour
3. Russell Henley + 5500 Fanduel
2nd SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 20 in Par 4 & Par 5 scoring
Top 20 in SG Scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour
4. Scottie Scheffler + 3000 Ceasars Sportsbook
18th on his only visit here in 2019 a much better golfer now
Another player seeking his first PGA Tour win
Gained over 1.7 strokes per round on his only previous visit here
Top 20 Picks
Chris Kirk 4/1 Bet365
6th SG T2G performance in the past 24 rounds on tour
6th SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 20min GIR gained & Fairways found
Henrik Norlander 9/2 Unibet
2nd GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
10th in Fairways gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
Plays best golf on easy scoring tracks
2 Top 10’s in his last 5 events on tour
Russell Henley 9/4 Unibet/Bet365 Max Bet
2nd SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 20 in Par 4 & Par 5 scoring
Top 20 in SG Scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour
Don’t forget to hit that 👍 button on the YouTube video all your support is needed so please do hit the like and leave a comment or 2.
Help Gingerbets achieve 500 subscribers
Gingerbets YouTube channel Click Here Please 👍
Please subscribe to YouTube & other socials
If I could ask one thing of my subscribers it would be to share the preview and subscribe to YouTube by clicking the link below 👇 and following on Twitter, Cheers 🍻 guys really appreciate the support 🥳
Apple 🍏 Podcasts - Subscribe Here Now
🎧Google Podcast - Subscribe Here Now
🎧Spotify Podcast-Subscribe Here Now
Please share the preview and link to subscribe with other golf geeks and golf enthusiasts