Houston Open Preview
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Event Overview
Memorial Park Golf Course, which opened in 1936 and is located near downtown Houston, is a municipal course. Last year, Tom Doak remodelled the course with Brooks Koepka's aid. This week's event will be a Par 70 course with a total length of over 7400 yards. You Can be sure with the influence of Brooks on this redesign it will be a demanding and challenging ball striking test.
The revised course includes three Par 5s and five Par 3s, with several of the latter stretching out to over 200 yards. There are numerous Par 4s that are between 450 and 500 yards long. One of the course's distinguishing features is the lack of bunkers that really come into action; instead, the course has minimal amounts of water throughout, as well as challenging slopes and run-off areas, particularly on and around the greens. Each and every club in the bag will be put to work this week.
This week, golfers will need to be precise with their approaches and have a strong around-the-green game to get up and down on these tough Bermuda greens. Long hitters should be able to take advantage of the several Par 5s and shorter Par 4s that will be in play this week one on the back 9 is drivable for most, so I'll be looking for individuals who can blast the ball far off the tee. The ability to hit approaches well from the 175-225 yard range will also be important this week, with numerous Par 3s going over 200 yards.
Overall this week I’m looking for players who can play big boy golf courses well. When looking at the leaderboard last year all of the players at the top stand out in the ball striking statistics this isn’t a course for finesse and precision but more out and out T2G play.
Event & Course Details
Course: Memorial Park Golf Course
Location: Houston, TX
Date: Nov. 11-14, 2021
Par: 70 / 7,412 yards
Fairways/Rough: Bermudagrass
Greens: Bermudagrass
Purse: $7.5 Million / Winner $1.3 Million
5 Key Skill Sets Required
Driving Distance – A long and demanding course of the tee box. Plenty of Par 4 ‘s over 450 yards and the addition of 5 Par 5’s which is very rare. All of this means I’m favouring big boy players of the tee box this week. No place for the faint hearted. The last few weeks on tour have favoured precision, not the case this week.
SG T2G – On a super demanding layout makes sense to look at recent strokes gained T2G performance.Looking at the leaderboard from last year shows this is a real ball striking test and the worlds most elite players from tee to green rise to the top of the leaderboard come Sunday evening.
Proximity to hole from 175 Yards + - This is a tough and demanding track the players face there is a significant amount of shots From 175 yards or greater rather than look at green in regulation data this week I want to look at proximity to the whole from 175 to 225 yards there will be a higher volume of shots from this distance than the average week on tour. Like we have touched upon, this is a real ball striking test.
Par 5 Scoring efficiency - Looking at the data it appears Par 5 scoring last year was a key factor in determining the Top 5 player on the leaderboard.
Par 3 Scoring efficiency - There are 5 par 3 holes this week some of them extremely demanding at over 200 yards it therefore makes sense to pay particular attention to par 3 scoring. I will also be paying close attention to par-3 holes over 175 yards.
Best Outsiders to Consider
All Each Way bets for those looking for a big priced payout, also useful additions to those playing fantasy games over in the USA.
Luke List 150/1
6th GIR gained last 24 rounds on tour
5th SG T2G last 24 rounds on tour
8th Proximity to hole from 175 yards or further over the past 24 rounds
2. Jonny Vegas 100/1
6th in Ball Striking on tour over past 24 rounds
10th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds
7th in Par 5 scoring over the last 24 rounds on tour
6th Par 3 scoring on holes over 200 yards long
3. Martin Laird 150/1
3rd GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
20th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 30 in Ball Striking & Par 4 scoring over past 24 rounds
Best Outright Picks
1. Mito Pereria + 7500 Bet365
1st GIR gained over the past 36 rounds
7th SG T2G over past 36 rounds.
Top 20 in Par 3 scoring & Par 5 scoring 36 rounds
His Price will simply not be 75/1 come the day.
2. Tyrell Hatton +3000 Bet365
13th SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on tour
Can handle windy conditions, and it can often blow in Houston.
8th Par 3 scoring over the last 36 rounds in the PGA Tour
3rd in Proximity to the hole from 200+ yards over the past 36 rounds
Can be competitive in this moderate field for sure. If the putter works he’s sure to be close.
3. Joaquin Niemann + 3000 Bet365
5th last week where a poor 3rd round cost him
Top 10 in Proximity to the hole from 200+ yards
Top 20 in Par 3 Scoring
Long off the tee and also has the ability to hit all ball flights and shot shapes which I feel is important this week. This is a ball strikers track
4. Scottie Scheffler + 1800 Bet365
Top 5 last week where he returned a profit for each way players, his price is shorter this week but he’s shown he’s striking it well.
Top 10 in GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tour
Close to his first win on tour
Can move the ball both ways off the tee and with his irons
A WINNER waiting to happen
Top 20
Martin Laird 5/1
3rd GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour
20th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour
Top 30 in Ball Striking & Par 4 scoring over past 24 rounds
Shane Lowery 5/2
5th GIR gained over the last 36 rounds on tour
16th SG T2G over the last 36 rounds on tour
Top 30 in Proximity from 175 yards +
Top 30 in SG Par 3 & Par 4 scoring
Plays tough golf course well and has form in the wind which can blow In Houston
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